Confidence is always good, but...

William Kristol has asserted, in a Weekly Standard article entitled "Yes, Bush Will Win," that yes, Bush will win. I understand that Kristol would like Bush to win, and that there are plenty of arguments (some that I agree with more than others) for why he should win and why he well might, but this is taking things a bit too far. Conservatives might as well declare that pink button-down shirts will come into fashion, that promiscuous teens won't be happy with themselves when they get older, etc. Sure, Kristol offers up some reasons why Bush might get a second term, but this sort of rhetoric just makes me think that yes, Bush will get William Kristol's vote.